Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b04758d48c521c9ce96f1ffd579b2d9e1407c18784b93faf27398266c244c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 61c | 6,810$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,280$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.23 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 1,238$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.3 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 33c | 999.93$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 76c | 354.9$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 351.39$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 227.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 39c | 214.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 204$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 22c | 121.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 113.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 103.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 32c | 75.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 59c | 34.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.