TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,619 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c6,992$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.028,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over70c3,864$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.5612354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under57c1,928$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.4349449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c1,479$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.021,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8915945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under60c1,062$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.73977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under54c1,011$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.9411963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c1,007$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.213,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over46c999$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c996.63$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.912,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over35c945.98$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0917146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over46c863.48$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.21957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+73.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over39c808.96$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6615424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over61c694.46$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4248057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c601$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6837851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over31c600$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1832657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over32c505.72$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16146530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under6c500$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c499.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.998554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over44c452$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.882263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1684776.6%36 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over50c390$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1954854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over42c335$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0717542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7030…195ebacked Over49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16070%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under70c286$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7421752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffd…38f6backed Over44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over15c235.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35628.1%5 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c225.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7519135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Under74c212.08$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.143964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under59c211.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.864141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Over35c206.43$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.252231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7797…668bbacked Over46c186.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2160%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0d…53a5backed Over27c160.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over62c132.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over39c129.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.77128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over50c118.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f9…f701backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under73c107.59$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.053855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Under65c106.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over53c106.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5410750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3383642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4839853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ad…9d51backed Over33c90.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under66c90.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8627053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over30c90.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.262334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972080%16 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c78.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4872350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f9…e1b8backed Over25c75.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.758843.2%38 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c73.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.735,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4313…306abacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaed…88c4backed Over47c53.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2570%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under60c50.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.171883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under77c48.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0710160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under59c47.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8435758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over45c43.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.584231%13 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c41.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.022,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under75c37.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.311,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under44c37.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.134560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over45c37.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.522,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over42c35.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159361.3%57 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Over40c34.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.772171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over39c33.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96949.3%34 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under58c29.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2911664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under56c28.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.394654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over44c25.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2928231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3612…cf99backed Under59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1f…379abacked Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ac…394dbacked Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x124c…48d2backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfd…9201backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f2…f7a0backed Under51c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1247…3fafbacked Under51c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under66c15.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.354652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.