South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca16523ce555aafc200808f3f140442b629c98ae46318572de2008c68ede8ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,079 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,692$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.11 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 42c | 1,057$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.37 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 52c | 966.26$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 629.49$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.67 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 33c | 531.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.83 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 480.16$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 50c | 440.52$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.06 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 48c | 384.08$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 27c | 335.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 51c | 316.31$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 48c | 262$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 41c | 130.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 22c | 103.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…1ecabacked No | 76c | 83.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 71.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 62c | 57.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 77c | 57.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4313…306abacked Yes | 49c | 54.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 48.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaed…88c4backed Yes | 34c | 46.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Yes | 33c | 37.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Yes | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 26.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 70c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.