Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf72f61c13f19301b21ed36beddf2b72a704bbc88fd407c663588b7a1c57c17c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,094 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 9,374$5,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.23 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 47c | 1,221$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 1,183$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 917.58$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.17 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 712.14$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.14 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 19c | 695.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 673.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 59c | 457.63$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 439.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.84 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 50c | 324$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 67c | 300.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 44c | 270$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 269.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Over | 57c | 250.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 226.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Under | 37c | 221.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 55c | 199.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 45c | 197.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 170.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 55c | 136.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 44c | 131.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 57c | 99.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 54c | 94.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 53c | 93.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 83.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 54c | 79.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 48c | 78.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 45c | 76.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 47c | 57.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +83%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 31c | 52.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 48.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 45c | 47.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 43c | 46.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 43.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 42c | 40.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.