Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a7c297e3b091eeb748d41fe6df8a186dbf8abcee84df0dc7c82dcd79b23d17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,257 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 62c | 8,895$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 38c | 8,158$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.96 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 40c | 810.6$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 12c | 435$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 15c | 389.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 382.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 348.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 63c | 317.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 40c | 311.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 39c | 240$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 39c | 142.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked No | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 40c | 112.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…88e8backed Yes | 61c | 105.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 98.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 57c | 96.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 94.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 79.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 60c | 73.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 45.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 39c | 37.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 59c | 34.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…1f3cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.