South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca12bb540b9db9b1e0392bf3d434659c06b2098d4afbb8e26f386e4c648a1f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,614 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 73c | 1,882$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.67 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,706$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 25c | 806.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 720.04$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 664$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.12 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 42c | 660.02$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.96 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 521.69$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 502.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Over | 60c | 334.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 269.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 50c | 232$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 24c | 221.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Over | 58c | 137.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 129.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 45c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 91.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 57c | 84.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 44c | 52.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Under | 24c | 45.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…b40dbacked Under | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Under | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…5f14backed Under | 24c | 45.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed Under | 26c | 41.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 41c | 37.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 44c | 33.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 75c | 25.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…0332backed Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 77c | 15.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5this page
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.