South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d2541fb8a11e7ed5ae3cc8b786ba1b46d255d257fbf22189deac973d355da2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,345 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 50c | 16,332$8,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,166.24 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 26c | 5,879$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350.48 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841c…555fbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 2,292$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,022$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.39 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 74c | 1,627$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.08 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Under | 2c | 886.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 758.85$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 693.11$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 681.88$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Over | 71c | 329$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 298.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 74c | 279.5$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 36c | 274$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Over | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 39c | 259$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.54 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 57c | 200$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 137.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 116.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 50c | 109.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 66c | 73.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Under | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Under | 59c | 53.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 22c | 52.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 51.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 74c | 38.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9f…e763backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 74c | 30.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 50c | 27.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Over | 50c | 27.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 62c | 22.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…ac67backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5this page
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.