TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,672 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9250644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c6,860$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.566,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under45c2,779$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.383171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under41c1,012$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.087844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c727.5$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.64,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33013347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under44c540.24$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5413662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over29c465$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8515030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over30c316.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.123435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under45c226.54$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.636554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over28c224.22$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.392,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over62c220$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.355757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11427846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under43c199.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9719145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…589cbacked Under46c183$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over55c180.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c175.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.722,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…589bbacked Under46c172$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…903dbacked Under45c172$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over51c171.51$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.471040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2762…7e07backed Under46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83bc…e8efbacked Under45c156$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4acd…535cbacked Under44c142$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa078…7e6abacked Under46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cd…dcdebacked Under45c138$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5292…a5f3backed Under44c132$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over57c131.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7532164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under73c129.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under37c111.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7011443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over18c105.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under44c105$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5324044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c102.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.121,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c102.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4759645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c87.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.271,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Over36c82.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over59c78.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5822832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under45c74.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0939052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under44c74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4436259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaad4…1be5backed Over57c73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82d5…3aa8backed Over56c69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over31c67.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under44c67.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd73…74dcbacked Over56c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Over32c63.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.082416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-74.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7018…b95abacked Over56c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.626058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd108…8b25backed Over56c59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6297…8e42backed Over56c57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ab…6c11backed Over55c57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x061f…d92ebacked Over56c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92e1…ca65backed Over56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08e…d9f9backed Over56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed Over29c53.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.1wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-70%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2f8a…0407backed Over56c53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdab5…e252backed Over55c51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108516.5%14 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.520763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under40c49.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under51c47.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5849753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7517138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.23941%16 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.211842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.22040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.22638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c42.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9340821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9d02…4ce2backed Over55c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36c…f8b3backed Over55c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59b…94d9backed Over57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c5e…7677backed Over56c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5d…5b54backed Over56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over58c34.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over57c33.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Under45c33.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.654163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd3…4489backed Over55c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d1…41b7backed Over56c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc720…cc81backed Over56c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked Over57c31.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.76955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf737…d36cbacked Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under45c28.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.710750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d2…6a83backed Over56c28.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca14…e335backed Over56c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over56c27.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1832345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa574…ae93backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0123…d137backed Over56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa26…6e40backed Over56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71fe…ecf8backed Under46c25.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe764…fe55backed Under46c25.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f4d…e6d2backed Over55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453e…1f5ebacked Over56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c21…5cc1backed Over56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.