Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09c4b0961d98fd7afa5dcc6147e638d4794755acf108961ba230b09f5ec57124

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	6,578$3,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,400.66	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	48c	2,491$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.15	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	53c	1,000$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	265	48.3%128 W · 137 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	58c	895.83$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.51	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over	80c	826.48$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.68	61	68.9%42 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	75c	824$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	38c	800$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over	43c	539.96$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	17c	493.19$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.35	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under	70c	388.81$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.64	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	80c	375$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	321	64.5%207 W · 114 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	53c	372.01$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.19	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under	41c	359.88$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.82	150	30.7%46 W · 104 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	58c	344.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.98	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	74c	270.27$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Under	21c	260.97$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.16	101	12.9%13 W · 88 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	53c	251.99$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.55	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over	80c	250.15$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	182	65.9%120 W · 62 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	58c	240.93$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.59	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Over	52c	232.87$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.98	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	48c	224.91$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.77	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	-14.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	54c	185.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	57c	135.09$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	20c	125$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	-11.2wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	45c	123.17$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.64	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	58c	120.69$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	20c	113.39$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.71	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	55c	99.12$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.38	318	49.1%156 W · 162 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under	20c	98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.03	410	40.5%166 W · 244 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed Over	44c	91.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.21	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-6.1wins	-0.32per pick	53cpaid	-70%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	72c	83.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over	59c	80$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	55c	69.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over	72c	69.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	71cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under	22c	68.7$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.59	240	44.2%106 W · 134 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	21c	67$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.93	171	38.6%66 W · 105 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Under	60c	63.05$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.1	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	64c	60$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	137	60.6%83 W · 54 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	65c	54.63$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	408	21.8%89 W · 319 L	-53.7wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over	54c	47.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Over	64c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	68c	40$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.34	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c69…4622backed Over	65c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over	58c	39.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	77c	37.42$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.81	162	51.2%83 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	74c	33.22$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…2277backed Under	45c	31.89$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+123%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over	38c	31.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over	73c	29.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5c…8080backed Over	77c	29.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.67	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over	54c	29.15$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.74	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over	67c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over	68c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	44c	22.67$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	74c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	194	41.8%81 W · 113 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…37d5backed Under	78c	19.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…ae93backed Over	79c	18.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5this page
Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Charlton Athletic FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event