Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08a3e9b29a496950dde41f38ec269f176d233a406f84a7d26352c279a0f4a9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlton Athletic FCof Middlesbrough FC, Charlton Athletic FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,227 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Middlesbrough FC | 28c | 2,529$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 1,079$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.13 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Charlton Athletic FC | 71c | 300$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 155$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Middlesbrough FC | 28c | 92.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Middlesbrough FC | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Middlesbrough FC | 28c | 40.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Charlton Athletic FC | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…ae93backed Charlton Athletic FC | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.