Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee97f3bdfc615600c1be98c50733de3048939be5b786573c127c4ad2811cded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof Iowa State Cyclones, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 52c | 163,696$85,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,121.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 49,563$23,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,772.86 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 48,499$23,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,221.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 22,607$10,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,703.94 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 20,519$9,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,669.97 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 14,536$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,558.81 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9e70backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 3,926$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 2,859$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.51 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.9 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 1,110$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.34 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 868.35$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 814.24$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.41 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 548.17$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.93 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 413.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…ba4cbacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 249.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 200.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 198.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 52c | 190.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 189.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 95.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Iowa State Cyclones | 49c | 89.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…c715backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 56.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 53.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 40.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)this page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 154.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.