TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 154.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,078 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1346…0448backed Over1c2,865$29 inLost-$28.653145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over50c1,138$569 inLost-$569.154628.3%13 W · 33 L-10.2wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c1,058$529 inWon+$529.235,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over51c583.09$297 inLost-$297.3831057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c524.74$257 inWon+$267.6212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Under51c97.18$50 inWon+$47.629256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c47.58$24 inWon+$23.795,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e9d…9e33backed Over51c38.87$20 inLost-$19.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-57.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c24.33$11 inLost-$10.954,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.