Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0ff0f9a8d4db5aa7be23e235759b1e3114e984da6e35f9243b36bba5cf82550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof Iowa State Cyclones, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa State Cyclones | 46c | 1,588$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 45c | 1,513$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa State Cyclones | 43c | 686.81$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.23 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 633.61$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 540.24$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 418.79$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 45c | 356.88$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 44c | 310.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 225.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed BYU Cougars | 57c | 220.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 182.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 165.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 138.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed BYU Cougars | 56c | 136.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Iowa State Cyclones | 8c | 126.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 117.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BYU Cougars | 62c | 113.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 87.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed BYU Cougars | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Iowa State Cyclones | 47c | 86.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BYU Cougars | 60c | 70.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa State Cyclones | 43c | 53.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…4793backed BYU Cougars | 61c | 50.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Iowa State Cyclones | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Iowa State Cyclones | 49c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)this page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 154.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.