Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb387d16b02db18235b7553b741436bec8340ef3914a2ba037da8793af38062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,326 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 9,146$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 41c | 9,000$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 5,298$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.06 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 4,822$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 61c | 1,333$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 28c | 1,249$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.33 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 544.35$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.18 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 529$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.89 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 39c | 510$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 40c | 502.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 59c | 354.64$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 24c | 320$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 224.46$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 59c | 145.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 120.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 92.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 32c | 83.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 63c | 78.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 61c | 78.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…2c29backed Yes | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 72.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 28c | 63.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 62.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 60c | 60.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…c602backed Yes | 42c | 60.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 60.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 59.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 30c | 54.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Yes | 41c | 50.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Yes | 41c | 47.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 45.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 33c | 43.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes | 41c | 42.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 61c | 40.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 61c | 35.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 33.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 59c | 28.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.