Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f4b79c95f6c7fd9e45bdc68eaa52c201483c41b756b8ac92cfd2598b1f3356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 2,256$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.68 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 1,073$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 190.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 172.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 166.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 69.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Yes | 69c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 30c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 45.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 41.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.