Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6bc22b3f010002472d7b0bd174584183145e58ed5c1a69f36fa46018708f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 3,630$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.29 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 2c | 3,177$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 3,082$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 1,210$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.08 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 33c | 1,155$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 743.74$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.56 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 722.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 669.84$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.33 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 20c | 623.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 69c | 574.14$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 80c | 468.44$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 49c | 407.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.66 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 48c | 330$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 266.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 144.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 51c | 141.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 46c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Yes | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 18c | 83.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 46c | 82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 70c | 76.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 32c | 60.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 26c | 57.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked No | 32c | 45.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 41.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 49c | 41.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 77c | 37.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 69c | 34.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 63c | 32.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 48c | 26.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 53c | 24.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 54c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.