Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6dc83d48a84ebc2546b7fd08a3d9c86c3ee19ebe9b2616265d8244d47a65e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 6,179$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.9 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 4,048$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.05 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 68c | 2,461$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.85 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,366$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 2,257$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 1,480$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.26 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,403$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 20c | 1,248$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.92 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…9e3cbacked No | 66c | 1,238$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 921.37$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.48 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 920.71$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.39 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 639.43$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 619.87$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 587.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 580.69$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…238cbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 75c | 323.48$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 228.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 26c | 204$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…db60backed Yes | 22c | 153.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 19c | 132.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e47…a5ccbacked No | 78c | 100.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 25c | 80.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 62.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 77c | 62.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 60.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 33c | 56.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 24c | 50.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 26c | 47.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…4052backed Yes | 24c | 42.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 42.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 35.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed No | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 75c | 30.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 80c | 13.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.