Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e70137e921181b31faa4edcfe0add5c664c8fa958a963f0b1e6119f87a47198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 24c | 6,959$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.07 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,960$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.74 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 791.62$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 777.99$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 56c | 602.06$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 567.24$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 340.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 301.47$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 67c | 230.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 205.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 24c | 167.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 161.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 31c | 119.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 115.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…f7dcbacked Yes | 70c | 83.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 60.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 44c | 54.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 53.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 23c | 52.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 52.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 38c | 52.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…4052backed Yes | 24c | 42.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 38.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked No | 32c | 33.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 63c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 77c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…4747backed No | 71c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 78c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.