TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,567 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94ce…09b1backed No44c104,534$45,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,533.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes56c27,500$15,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,9758845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c21,523$12,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,434.943,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c17,827$10,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,591.4747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes57c11,284$6,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,868.1212451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes57c9,768$5,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,167.621,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes57c7,757$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.0725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4604035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes59c3,521$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.733145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Yes55c3,020$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes57c2,616$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.3913347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes59c1,742$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.089151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes57c1,740$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.325250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No12c1,428$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0939567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No14c998.56$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.412676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes69c843.47$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No40c796.36$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5421547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No41c749.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31068550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes56c728.33$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.473625%9 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes56c690$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.64445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No47c606.39$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.623043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes72c539.33$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes53c523$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.041,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No41c511.66$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6642947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes57c505.05$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.177334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No42c500$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes56c436$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.844252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No42c401.02$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No29c392.65$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1921545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes71c385$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.726346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes58c346.55$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.552070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+67.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes61c328$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.929652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes59c265$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.654650%23 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes57c264.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1113950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c256.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No41c252$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.994548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes55c218.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1815458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c213$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.619073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No41c208$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6823643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Yes60c200.04$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.041384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f9…6e9fbacked Yes60c196.18$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7824351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfce2…34bdbacked Yes55c176.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes58c172.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.034553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes62c155$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4918967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1525…62dcbacked No46c153.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638919.1%17 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf294…25ebbacked No46c147.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Yes57c141.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.022356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes57c137.28$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.317150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes57c136$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…4082backed Yes55c124.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes57c109.5$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.459740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No22c107.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No41c105$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.89239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes60c102.24$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.95133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes57c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.227564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes59c99.46$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.711637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes63c95.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2319847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes70c89.1$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.754949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes71c84.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4996756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No41c77.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.638552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked No40c77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.461650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No21c76.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7924920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Yes56c76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No43c71.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.653234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Yes60c66.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes59c61.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.023641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No41c50.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.022937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.28568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes73c42.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes60c41.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7116744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No41c38.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.622161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.715100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes59c30.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.565641.1%23 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Yes59c30.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.425100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+211.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes58c30.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64951%25 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.54967.3%33 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No50c27.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.852536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes59c25.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.295839.7%23 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Yes57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.871330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Yes59c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Yes59c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.021844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed Yes55c20.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.443250%16 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes59c19.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes57c18.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.792528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes73c14.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.956154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.