Euroleague · resolved market
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89d47dad8d9eac511a43c865cac81483ba801602cbec0f7eb93426b3f179b5bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Maccabi Tel Aviv, Olimpia Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Olimpia Milano | 61c | 6,971$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 37c | 3,889$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.73 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 46c | 2,031$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 47c | 1,898$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.97 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Olimpia Milano | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Olimpia Milano | 56c | 624$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.56 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 22c | 602.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Olimpia Milano | 52c | 503.65$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Olimpia Milano | 54c | 401.19$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Olimpia Milano | 80c | 365.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42c | 344$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 51c | 338.44$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.97 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 56c | 322.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42c | 288.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Olimpia Milano | 62c | 240.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Olimpia Milano | 63c | 198.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 47c | 187.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Olimpia Milano | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49c | 144.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 137.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 39c | 125.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…501cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7e…9c21backed Olimpia Milano | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Olimpia Milano | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 43.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Olimpia Milano | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…aa87backed Olimpia Milano | 53c | 32.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…dfecbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49c | 27.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.