Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00addedba39e23d5a1d8946943feea0bde2f712f80d595aa31a37db49a77af67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Michigan State Spartans, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Michigan State Spartans | 58c | 95,071$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,071.49 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 46,390$23,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,195 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 32c | 39,965$12,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.36 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 9,637$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 26c | 7,865$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 7,731$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.06 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 5,881$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 4,931$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.9 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 3,750$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 2,108$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.06 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 1,951$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.03 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 1,813$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.07 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 1,559$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 1,476$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.99 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Michigan State Spartans | 37c | 1,055$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 63c | 1,038$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 849.98$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.49 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 830$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 631.6$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 40c | 621.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 620.42$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.8 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 556.23$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.36 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 540$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc5…4f7dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…d189backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…03cdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 37c | 451.24$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 399.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 358.23$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 69c | 314$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 301.6$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 41c | 285$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 244.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 17c | 244.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Michigan State Spartans | 67c | 220$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 190.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 180.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 176.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 147$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 127.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Michigan State Spartans | 41c | 121.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 112.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 112.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Michigan State Spartans | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…bed5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 78.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 61.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…2158backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 30c | 54.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…10f7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 53.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a8…432cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 51.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…182ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 50.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…d538backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 50.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…aa48backed Michigan State Spartans | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…978dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 49.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…7aedbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 47.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…3cd5backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 46.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5b25backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 45.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…af4abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 39.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…787bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 36.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Michigan State Spartans | 76c | 34.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 32.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…ace0backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 32.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…112cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 31.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec72…d655backed Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 30.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…d903backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 30.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 67c | 28.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 28.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…fa9fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 28.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…d989backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 27.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…b685backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 22.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 53c | 21.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…673ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsthis page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 150.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 151.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-1.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-2.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.