Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd95a07cf68bf4e246361e55b45efa2f80bc82dbca4c1a5e3cbf6a51b91084e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 11c | 2,027$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 11c | 1,185$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 13c | 1,078$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 12c | 652$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 9c | 174.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…c3c8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 17c | 174.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10c | 110.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 36c | 60.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Barcelona | 80c | 26.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.