Euroleague · resolved market
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Forca Lleida CE
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4bb435633b90e446013ebd2be10b16dbdb9554f97cdcf2ba2b16311c2f7e8b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CB Breogan Lugoof CB Breogan Lugo, Forca Lleida CE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x740b…647abacked CB Breogan Lugo | 70c | 1,134$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Forca Lleida CE | 27c | 999.76$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.87 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CB Breogan Lugo | 77c | 609.23$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Forca Lleida CE | 4c | 416$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Forca Lleida CE | 30c | 414.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…ad9cbacked Forca Lleida CE | 5c | 370$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…2f3bbacked Forca Lleida CE | 5c | 273$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed CB Breogan Lugo | 67c | 201.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Forca Lleida CE | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Forca Lleida CE | 22c | 165.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Forca Lleida CE | 33c | 147.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Forca Lleida CE | 33c | 110.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Forca Lleida CE | 32c | 102.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Forca Lleida CE | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Forca Lleida CE | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…8597backed CB Breogan Lugo | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed CB Breogan Lugo | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.