South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF América (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee0e5b93c865e2306c85adffd6d596b960398d4885d156e2438deb42d81393c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CF Américaof CF América, Atlético San Luis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlético San Luis | 63c | 8,857$5,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,581.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed CF América | 37c | 8,000$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.86 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlético San Luis | 65c | 7,016$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.66 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CF América | 34c | 5,067$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.45 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlético San Luis | 64c | 5,045$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked CF América | 34c | 4,314$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.19 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlético San Luis | 62c | 4,254$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.83 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…1a59backed CF América | 28c | 2,452$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CF América | 34c | 2,095$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.41 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed CF América | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed CF América | 38c | 1,568$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.07 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed CF América | 38c | 599.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.98 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlético San Luis | 62c | 464.57$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.49 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed CF América | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Atlético San Luis | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked CF América | 34c | 379.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.36 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CF América | 34c | 349$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.34 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CF América | 34c | 327.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.38 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CF América | 47c | 322.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked Atlético San Luis | 10c | 311.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked CF América | 40c | 269$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed CF América | 39c | 244.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed CF América | 38c | 222.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Atlético San Luis | 65c | 220.28$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Atlético San Luis | 65c | 203.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked CF América | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…5695backed CF América | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +139%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed CF América | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed CF América | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed CF América | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Atlético San Luis | 64c | 192$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked CF América | 38c | 155.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CF América | 35c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Atlético San Luis | 64c | 133.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Atlético San Luis | 67c | 117.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked CF América | 38c | 92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlético San Luis | 65c | 83.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Atlético San Luis | 66c | 80.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Atlético San Luis | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Atlético San Luis | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Atlético San Luis | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atlético San Luis | 57c | 73.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Atlético San Luis | 64c | 68.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CF América | 70c | 66.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Atlético San Luis | 66c | 66.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Atlético San Luis | 65c | 64.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atlético San Luis | 57c | 59.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked CF América | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Atlético San Luis | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Atlético San Luis | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Atlético San Luis | 64c | 48.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…0944backed CF América | 28c | 47.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed CF América | 30c | 46.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Atlético San Luis | 64c | 46.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed CF América | 39c | 44.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked CF América | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed CF América | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked CF América | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Atlético San Luis | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed CF América | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Atlético San Luis | 62c | 37.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CF América | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed CF América | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Atlético San Luis | 67c | 23.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Atlético San Luis | 66c | 22.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Atlético San Luis | 62c | 22.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…456cbacked Atlético San Luis | 64c | 20.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Atlético San Luis | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked CF América | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Atlético San Luis | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked CF América | 62c | 18.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlético San Luis | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)this page
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 0.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 1.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 2.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: CF América O/U 0.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: CF América O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: CF América O/U 2.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.