TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CF América (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
CF Américaof CF América, Atlético San Luis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,463 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlético San Luis50c5,296$2,645 inLost-$2,645.282,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed CF América41c4,393$1,781 inWon+$2,611.852,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Atlético San Luis77c2,075$1,595 inLost-$1,594.685,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CF América51c1,247$632 inWon+$614.961,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CF América51c1,007$511 inWon+$496.4140651%207 W · 199 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked CF América51c671.02$342 inWon+$328.831136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd34…7f2abacked Atlético San Luis7c509.88$35 inLost-$34.88273.7%1 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-90.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlético San Luis49c248.61$122 inLost-$121.8157540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CF América54c193.61$105 inWon+$89.0672450.6%366 W · 358 L-24.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked CF América52c182.73$95 inWon+$87.7129245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlético San Luis47c161.75$75 inLost-$75.241,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed CF América67c151.2$101 inWon+$50.023,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked CF América15c149.98$22 inWon+$127.9841654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed CF América20c124.74$25 inWon+$99.9555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed CF América48c106$51 inWon+$55.1222145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlético San Luis47c104.89$50 inLost-$49.778,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked CF América20c91.97$18 inWon+$73.848930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked CF América48c90.75$44 inWon+$47.1911143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked CF América52c61$31 inWon+$29.553366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed CF América65c57.78$38 inWon+$19.9525635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Atlético San Luis50c50$25 inLost-$2515057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked CF América41c47$19 inWon+$27.5648547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Atlético San Luis60c25$15 inLost-$154766%31 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked CF América40c25$10 inWon+$153259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+55.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Atlético San Luis56c24.47$14 inLost-$13.7519548.7%95 W · 100 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked CF América80c24$19 inWon+$4.9150643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked CF América67c23.99$16 inWon+$7.9235046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Atlético San Luis52c21.19$11 inLost-$10.927651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Atlético San Luis51c20$10 inLost-$10.244252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Atlético San Luis60c19$11 inLost-$11.4118426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.