South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75fd5924ff830cda6b1a2ddaf9e5f97bffa0f97fcb9f495e984c8d89c304a44a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under | 3c | 5,429$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 5c | 3,177$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 2,437$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 24c | 1,864$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.85 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 665.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 76c | 503.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 3c | 375.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 217.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 6c | 166.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 76c | 156$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 23c | 103.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 77c | 103.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 21c | 90.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 76c | 75.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 64.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 59.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 79c | 58.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 22c | 52.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…9ac0backed Over | 77c | 51.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 76c | 35.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5this page
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 0.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 1.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 2.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: CF América O/U 0.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: CF América O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: CF América O/U 2.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.