Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221b1c851ad6a09432e389feb44861637b098b5d17b242a2696a46915d42a8c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 2c | 1,025$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 37c | 422.36$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.01 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 415.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 60c | 397.36$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.88 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 51c | 390.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 44c | 380.22$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 550 | 25.3%139 W · 411 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 16c | 351.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 32c | 305.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…03f1backed No | 7c | 289.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed No | 5c | 280.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 62c | 252.21$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 227.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…4535backed Yes | 61c | 216.48$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 69c | 213.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes | 58c | 200.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 45c | 199.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…5a8bbacked Yes | 62c | 162.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 33c | 162.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…989bbacked Yes | 53c | 158.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…fef1backed Yes | 47c | 158.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 74c | 151.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 37c | 147.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 64c | 142.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Yes | 64c | 125.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 13c | 121.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 31c | 101.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 44c | 100.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…485abacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 17c | 95.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 939 | 2.4%23 W · 916 L | -386.8wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 5-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 95.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 2,837 | 11.2%317 W · 2,520 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…b3c7backed Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 63c | 89.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 435 | 50.6%220 W · 215 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 57c | 87.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed No | 23c | 86.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 38c | 86.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 7,564 | 37.5%2,840 W · 4,724 L | +95.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 22c | 82.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 931 | 34%317 W · 614 L | +53.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8696…6175backed Yes | 57c | 82.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 42c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4f3abacked Yes | 69c | 76.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 61c | 75.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…9c46backed Yes | 37c | 71.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…7b9abacked Yes | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd895…0099backed No | 26c | 70.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 61c | 69.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…4e1fbacked Yes | 32c | 66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…33a6backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed No | 39c | 59.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 72c | 55.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1043…253abacked No | 72c | 55.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…63cabacked No | 49c | 53.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 70c | 52.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed Yes | 76c | 51.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…c0e7backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…d1b8backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…0058backed Yes | 33c | 48.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 39c | 46.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…6732backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed No | 76c | 41.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed No | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 528 | 33.3%176 W · 352 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…ca53backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0312…c713backed Yes | 68c | 36.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…c8d8backed Yes | 53c | 35.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…3e11backed No | 50c | 35.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368e…dca0backed No | 50c | 31.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…9820backed Yes | 64c | 30.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 65c | 30.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 72c | 30.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 66c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…f481backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked No | 74c | 29.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fc…3c2dbacked Yes | 64c | 29.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5de…d515backed Yes | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 44c | 26.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…c141backed Yes | 58c | 26.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…0541backed No | 53c | 25.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7184…56d7backed Yes | 76c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…6a3ebacked Yes | 75c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…18a6backed No | 75c | 23.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3224…67bebacked Yes | 63c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…fc1cbacked Yes | 54c | 22.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…526cbacked Yes | 70c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…b20abacked Yes | 61c | 21.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…297abacked No | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…b94cbacked No | 52c | 20.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86f…f7fbbacked Yes | 57c | 20.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…c3d0backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Yes | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.