NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02cb33e79abf0b660cd18f5ae2f7cc7596457a8ca41c97d4df87a74428dbc86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa664…f849backed Avangard Omsk | 48c | 3,091$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 29c | 1,105$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.66 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…4483backed Avangard Omsk | 49c | 714.92$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avangard Omsk | 57c | 618.9$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.82 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…03e8backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 545.64$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 484.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Avangard Omsk | 75c | 419.43$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.03 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…ac47backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 350.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Avangard Omsk | 57c | 218.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…ee0cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 186.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…89f2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 28c | 175.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 151.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…c8e2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 147.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 114.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…e966backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 107.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Avangard Omsk | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0c…9029backed Avangard Omsk | 40c | 77.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Avangard Omsk | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 57.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cb…6b58backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 27c | 54.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +275.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…44f9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Avangard Omsk | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Avangard Omsk | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Avangard Omsk | 48c | 41.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…2467backed Avangard Omsk | 48c | 39.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 36.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…3542backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 34.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…8cd8backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 33.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 51c | 20.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.