Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad700aa126fd06fa2e9df81627d23a2bb2389e28ccebfcb725c955f8e5940b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 23c | 2,152$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.21 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 48c | 1,537$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.3 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,143$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 50c | 995.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 51c | 877$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 664.27$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.59 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 48c | 414.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Under | 54c | 214.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 145.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 52c | 97.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 56.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Over | 32c | 55.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 39.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 30.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 51c | 28.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…afe8backed Under | 48c | 27.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 55c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.