Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f81036d6c87df1e5338ab92a77774b136282909dd3072aefc4cfeb99700246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 51c | 4,374$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,193$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 727.86$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.08 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 45c | 659.8$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.43 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 43c | 508$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.56 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 480.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 50c | 399.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.82 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 57c | 351.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 69c | 325.33$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 70c | 283.33$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 39c | 176.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under | 32c | 161$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 158.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 148.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 56c | 131.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 70c | 109.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 70c | 109.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 74c | 57.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 53c | 54.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 52.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 58c | 51.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Under | 43c | 49.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 40c | 44.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 43.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 70c | 37.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 70c | 37.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 43c | 36.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Under | 56c | 35.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 30c | 34.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 44c | 34.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 30.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Over | 53c | 28.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 69c | 27.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…d366backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231b…d772backed Under | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…c666backed Over | 58c | 23.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…6902backed Over | 58c | 23.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…45f0backed Over | 58c | 23.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 63c | 20.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 69c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 69c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…feb9backed Over | 58c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…70e1backed Over | 58c | 18.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…888bbacked Over | 58c | 18.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…b75fbacked Over | 58c | 17.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 70c | 16.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.