Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23fd88d6d0614ef5994b5a2953a6c9dbbca974967982272e3e40b7112405911d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 840.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 641.8$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 35c | 565.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 553.64$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 76c | 538.39$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 23c | 532.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 23c | 522.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 412.44$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.11 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 39c | 372.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.92 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 36c | 230$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 61c | 209.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Over | 33c | 199.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 64c | 196$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Under | 63c | 192.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 65c | 149$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 120.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 117.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 87.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 65c | 75.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 68c | 73.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 39c | 63.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 65c | 62.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed Under | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 80c | 53.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 35c | 51.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 51.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 79c | 48.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 61c | 47.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 62c | 46.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 79c | 46.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 26c | 46.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 44.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 32c | 42.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Under | 79c | 38.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 80c | 36.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 80c | 36.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 79c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 41c | 30.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Under | 68c | 28.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 65c | 26.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 79c | 17.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…6f5fbacked Under | 65c | 15.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d42…aa73backed Under | 66c | 15.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.