Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x943a04e741ab7567aef22467a1462b104c354684e89148944af9352683c09f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 2,487$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.86 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 70c | 1,183$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.07 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 29c | 1,026$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 76c | 744.32$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 20c | 505.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Under | 19c | 289.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 76c | 210.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 28c | 169.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 28c | 168.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 20c | 138.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,143 | 46.5%531 W · 612 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 80c | 137$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 106.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 76c | 71.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 291 | 64.9%189 W · 102 L | +30.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Under | 19c | 66.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 24c | 52.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 67c | 31.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 349 | 59.9%209 W · 140 L | +49.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 71c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 474 | 55.5%263 W · 211 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Over | 76c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…a026backed Over | 71c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 80cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.