Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x038fed592a58783292d573cf7cdbc4c07cd5393d6b22ec91b169b7fb76c5267b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalian Yingbo FCof Zhejiang Zhiye FC, Dalian Yingbo FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 4 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e0…2eb1backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 6c | 747$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…4d62backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 6c | 699$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…15e9backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 6c | 659$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de0…0b11backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 7c | 553$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.