South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Belgrano vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda56ad2232f4941f245c18d068a0bc0a1befe548b281294fb455de0be9b8bd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 57c | 20,752$11,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,909.54 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 16,562$7,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,477.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 50c | 3,846$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.32 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 3,443$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 20c | 952$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 41c | 643.67$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.76 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 631.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 59c | 493.68$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.66 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 482.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.56 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 402.65$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 333.88$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…b6eabacked Over | 50c | 333.24$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +264.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 41c | 293.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.23 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 291.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 53c | 268.58$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 226.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 73c | 211.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 41c | 206.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 53c | 183.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 43c | 180.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 39c | 112.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 90.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 49c | 79.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 79.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 76c | 69.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 62c | 55.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 52.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 53c | 50.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 31c | 42.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 27.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…08a7backed Over | 75c | 24.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 76c | 16.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 65c | 15.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Aldosivi won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CA Aldosivi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.