Fifa International · resolved market
Will Benin win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x400cebe599b30434592e2ba8484e02e25392789fcdac4a3a95f75ae5f4e1c8b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 3,355$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.38 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 73c | 2,686$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.89 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 1,938$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 51c | 843.37$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.93 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 62c | 535.88$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 532.34$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 62c | 415.65$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +15.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 388.56$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 26c | 384.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 323.62$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 26c | 319.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 62c | 268.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 111 | 67.6%75 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 70c | 224.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 26c | 201.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 38c | 198.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 193.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 71c | 182.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 36c | 159.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…0faabacked Yes | 64c | 137.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 20c | 120.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…e532backed Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 26c | 98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 96.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 93.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 73c | 83.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 40c | 76.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 67.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Yes | 24c | 57.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 63c | 53.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 62c | 53.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…35f7backed Yes | 24c | 52.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +6.6wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 26c | 47.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 35.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 34c | 32.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked Yes | 71c | 30.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Yes | 61c | 22.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Yes | 58c | 20.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Yes | 60c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benin win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Guinea vs. Benin end in a draw?No won
- Will Guinea win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.