Fifa International · resolved market
Will Guinea win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x253db7309ad68c3cf03d4d440b8440a85e8a32793a389673fb70b623057ff1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 56c | 2,239$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 2,105$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,584$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 36c | 1,014$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.73 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 44c | 999.4$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.67 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 44c | 966.9$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.03 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 693.57$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 43c | 373.2$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 43c | 361.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 329.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 43c | 270.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 60c | 192.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 57c | 150.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 57c | 149.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 56c | 147.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 145.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 129.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…e532backed Yes | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 101.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 40c | 92.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 57c | 86.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 83.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 43c | 79.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 62.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 43c | 49.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 53c | 45.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…7bc9backed Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 44c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 40c | 32.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…5f34backed Yes | 45c | 27.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 25.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 57c | 20.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 55c | 18.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Guinea win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Benin win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
- Will Guinea vs. Benin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.