La Liga · resolved market
Real Zaragoza vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd540043efa99f3ed35910fe7c850c255265b693c31a47ecdd7b0ad8d57ba484c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,968$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 58c | 1,749$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.33 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,557$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 1,040$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 30c | 999.83$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 36c | 910.33$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.86 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Under | 77c | 589.32$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 46c | 500$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 66c | 488.73$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 63c | 436.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.3 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 394.1$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 256.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 227.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 57c | 211.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 197.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 52c | 186.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 171.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 36c | 122.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 111.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 23c | 104.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 37c | 94.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 36c | 64.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 40c | 59.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 73c | 57.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 67c | 57.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 69c | 57.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 56.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 37c | 45.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 44.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 30c | 41.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…89b6backed Under | 37c | 37.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 67c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 78c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 69c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 69c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 69c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 69c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 69c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +11.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 69c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 69c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Zaragoza vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Zaragoza vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Zaragoza vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.