Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42701a0435e81c0ad55d1b0b5c99b5d5ff75683d74c81fdb6ac6fa8fd7d17abe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 4,253$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 59c | 4,153$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.46 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 1,017$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.26 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 932.37$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.02 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 768.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 390.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 373.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 66c | 304.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 51c | 284.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 220.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 27c | 213$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 39c | 194.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 185$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 26c | 180$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 73c | 175.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 56c | 171.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 61c | 164.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 60c | 162$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 63c | 134.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 74c | 117$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 68c | 116$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 32c | 116$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 46c | 107.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 68c | 55.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 73c | 52.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Under | 66c | 45.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 43c | 32.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 63c | 29.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 73c | 26.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 26.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 43c | 25.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Under | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…5083backed Over | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 67c | 20.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 67c | 20.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 67c | 20.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 67c | 20.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 75c | 18.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 67c | 18.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 73c | 17.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.