Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5776d5858b8bb5ffbeab1e17dbe06304eb2a971aeb5c331f979d8d2e58e87676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 23c | 927.87$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 49c | 499.85$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 478.56$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.54 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 49c | 408.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 48c | 381.17$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 18c | 261.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bda…04febacked Over | 50c | 234.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 48c | 207.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 204.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 48c | 179.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 52c | 171.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 54c | 166$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 46c | 166$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 48c | 155.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 33c | 154.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 143.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 29c | 131.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 47c | 124.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…a5b9backed Over | 49c | 102.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 18c | 94.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 41c | 86.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 41c | 86.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 76.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 51c | 63.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 62c | 58.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 51c | 54.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 51.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Over | 52c | 45.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 55c | 42.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 54c | 35.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 32.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 53c | 28.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…6998backed Over | 46c | 24.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…255cbacked Over | 47c | 24.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…ffcdbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…c749backed Over | 46c | 23.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…8952backed Over | 47c | 23.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 49c | 23.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d98…c4d2backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…5c67backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3d…1da5backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…d85ebacked Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…3b25backed Over | 47c | 21.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…14d9backed Over | 47c | 21.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc53…e00abacked Over | 47c | 21.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…832bbacked Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…97e7backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…bec6backed Under | 53c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4316…d96ebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…480fbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…2890backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…8700backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…70a8backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3917…2f98backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…714cbacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.