Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7fbf0c327f7cdf0bd68e37af269b81487d1bb36712cf309b5e542e36d023efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 2,460$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 30c | 1,534$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.42 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 42c | 1,417$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 974.73$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.41 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Over | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 12c | 791.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 12c | 726.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 36c | 716.17$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 67c | 551.75$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 12c | 472.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 243.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 74c | 242.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 70c | 227.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 62c | 184.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 74c | 152.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 62c | 133.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 61c | 127.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 61c | 127.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 61c | 127.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 61c | 127.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 61c | 122.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 61c | 118.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 61c | 118.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 61c | 118.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 25c | 93.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 26c | 80.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 55c | 44.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 45c | 33.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 69c | 32.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 56c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed Over | 77c | 29.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 64c | 29.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 62c | 24.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 62c | 24.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 72c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 72c | 14.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.