South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54a06a572eb209d177121a7174de6a7a8c198d7a305ee960b11b500cebf566dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 5c | 1,862$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 38c | 1,691$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.61 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,105$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.66 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 1,078$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 71c | 1,062$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.83 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 76c | 835.56$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.18 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 31c | 399.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 394.65$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 30c | 308.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 70c | 254.35$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 28c | 199.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 33c | 189.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 29c | 170.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 154.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 71c | 138.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 72c | 114.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 74.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…94fbbacked Over | 27c | 70.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 56c | 66.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…ec2fbacked Over | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked Over | 16c | 62.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 52.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…85aebacked Under | 77c | 47.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…8859backed Under | 71c | 45.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…3e26backed Over | 27c | 40.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…ce7fbacked Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…f7e2backed Under | 64c | 22.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Under | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…ddaabacked Under | 69c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…a6d4backed Under | 75c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Platense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Platense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: CA Platense (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.