South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35b6dcf55ff3beef8341d1a894091a9507fc7766c8ba59f6039ed72da4c2d081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 70c | 2,798$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.23 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Under | 3c | 1,759$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 3c | 1,195$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 1,075$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.22 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 44c | 899.49$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.72 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 2c | 895.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 670.39$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.42 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 656.54$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.19 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 566.91$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 486.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 36c | 409.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 42c | 345.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 294.27$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 42c | 291.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 33c | 286.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 226.94$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.01 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 56c | 191.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 173.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 43c | 170.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 155.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 43c | 136.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…5f5ebacked Over | 63c | 127.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 47c | 108.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 64c | 108.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 66c | 106.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 47c | 98.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 29c | 87.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 45c | 70.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 72c | 58.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 28c | 55.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 55.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 49c | 53.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Under | 36c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 51.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 52c | 46.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 52c | 46.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 37c | 38.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 35c | 30.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 29.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.