South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3306061ceb89d0ffe9bda5b062eac7f080c7cde2d5407051c028b7b6aa23275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 54c | 5,603$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 2,519$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,650$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.45 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,264$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 802.12$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.49 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 45c | 660.82$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 32c | 348.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Under | 52c | 287.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 196.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 192$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 52c | 159.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 53c | 114.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 69c | 42.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 68c | 36.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 68c | 30.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 50c | 26.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 67c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 51c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…b869backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 70c | 18.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.