South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2f5af626e4cfb28f152cf556ad3e35668e9814b1d9183ba9edbb573f1030f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Necaxaof Tigres de la UANL, Club Necaxa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Tigres de la UANL | 24c | 2,605$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.03 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Tigres de la UANL | 4c | 1,172$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Necaxa | 76c | 1,070$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.73 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Club Necaxa | 76c | 657.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…5f2ebacked Tigres de la UANL | 27c | 354.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0c…db65backed Club Necaxa | 73c | 354.94$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Necaxa | 76c | 126.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9a12backed Tigres de la UANL | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Club Necaxa | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Tigres de la UANL | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tigres de la UANL | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Club Necaxa | 76c | 19.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Club Necaxa | 76c | 18.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Club Necaxa | 78c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Club Necaxa | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Club Necaxa | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.