South American Leagues · resolved market
Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf95dc0776f6d249ebb0cc5972ea4dcf9076a87b2b763e99880df20fb567fd15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,279$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 34c | 1,152$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.73 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 59c | 825.3$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.37 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 63c | 775.63$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.98 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 30c | 351.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 66c | 294.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 70c | 291.65$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 66c | 221.49$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 49c | 199.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 67c | 171.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 65c | 161.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 63c | 156.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 64c | 153.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…b37fbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 67c | 132.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 99.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Under | 65c | 92.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Over | 65c | 90.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 40c | 73.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 73.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 29c | 70.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 39c | 65.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 65.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 70c | 56.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d93abacked Over | 79c | 49.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Over | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 45.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Under | 36c | 38.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 43c | 37.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 46c | 31.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Under | 51c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…9f48backed Over | 71c | 20.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5this page
- Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Cusco FC won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.