South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f8ab0a2bf85e4dadba6a3673f2ca7daed0794a4ee39dd977094960a746ddca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 22,543$13,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,721.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 39c | 21,672$8,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,255.79 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 40c | 7,477$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 5,812$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.92 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 53c | 4,399$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.38 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 60c | 4,114$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.89 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 2,261$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 66c | 2,239$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.69 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 54c | 1,948$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 61c | 1,860$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.59 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 1,457$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.91 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 50c | 1,262$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.15 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 1,008$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.88 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 696.24$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.7 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 61c | 609.4$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.73 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 49c | 397.1$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 60c | 355.65$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.39 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 274.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 38c | 250.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 40c | 250.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.38 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 61c | 209.07$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 167.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 61c | 158.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 58c | 153.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 60c | 134.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 59c | 132.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 40c | 131$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 61c | 125.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Under | 33c | 92.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Under | 40c | 92.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 58c | 88.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 59c | 84.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Under | 37c | 83.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 32c | 79.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 64c | 79.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 68.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 69c | 57.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 37c | 56.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…0748backed Over | 60c | 56.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…5d25backed Over | 57c | 49.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 52c | 47.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 45.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 42.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 67c | 39.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 36.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…4bbdbacked Over | 61c | 30.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Under | 41c | 30.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…bac9backed Over | 48c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 61c | 25.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 48c | 24.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 61c | 24.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Over | 55c | 23.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…0056backed Over | 52c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 63c | 16.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)Deportivo La Guaira FC won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-2.5)Deportivo La Guaira FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.