South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x519724f7bb5e470efe46efe4a1822bf6283c63563f739e9aa1674d58f5012963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,247$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 999.56$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.85 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 596.7$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.22 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 71c | 491.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 477.84$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 61c | 256.72$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 140.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 121.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 52c | 97.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 86.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 84.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 70.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 65c | 45.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 68c | 28.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 68c | 28.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Under | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 68c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 68c | 18.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 68c | 17.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.