Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84245571004866f0f8e5254261ebb876078791e8f7c49192c5972d643f417958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof Disguised, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked FlyQuest | 61c | 133,166$80,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,430.36 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Disguised | 39c | 90,180$35,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,170.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Disguised | 0c | 31,335$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Disguised | 44c | 11,650$5,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.11 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Disguised | 40c | 6,897$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.97 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 6,823$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.5 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed FlyQuest | 62c | 6,245$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.01 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Disguised | 37c | 5,658$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.1 | 484 | 49.8%241 W · 243 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 41c | 5,598$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.24 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed FlyQuest | 74c | 5,297$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.22 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FlyQuest | 75c | 5,082$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.83 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…7e04backed Disguised | 16c | 4,960$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.72 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Disguised | 12c | 4,622$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.97 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Disguised | 35c | 4,454$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.99 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 7c | 4,448$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.69 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 24c | 4,250$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.5 | 1,203 | 54%650 W · 553 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Disguised | 40c | 3,854$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.46 | 608 | 47.9%291 W · 317 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Disguised | 32c | 3,484$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.44 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Disguised | 34c | 3,141$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.94 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Disguised | 40c | 2,380$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Disguised | 39c | 2,279$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.35 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 39c | 2,081$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.57 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 40c | 2,073$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.04 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Disguised | 8c | 2,044$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Disguised | 41c | 1,963$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.62 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Disguised | 39c | 1,736$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.25 | 955 | 41.7%398 W · 557 L | -31.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed FlyQuest | 56c | 1,715$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.52 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FlyQuest | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.93 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…fca9backed Disguised | 5c | 1,500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 23c | 1,497$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Disguised | 38c | 1,441$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.09 | 859 | 42.7%367 W · 492 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Disguised | 33c | 1,324$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.34 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised | 44c | 1,247$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.88 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed FlyQuest | 56c | 1,190$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.75 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…6e31backed Disguised | 1c | 1,181$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Disguised | 38c | 1,148$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.72 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed FlyQuest | 60c | 1,142$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.4 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Disguised | 43c | 1,118$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.96 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed FlyQuest | 69c | 1,111$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.83 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked FlyQuest | 73c | 1,070$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.38 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked FlyQuest | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Disguised | 24c | 998.89$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 28c | 867.34$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed FlyQuest | 79c | 759.62$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.38 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Disguised | 42c | 749.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised | 40c | 723$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Disguised | 40c | 674.8$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.92 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 654.76$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FlyQuest | 66c | 642.08$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.62 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Disguised | 32c | 608.83$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed FlyQuest | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Disguised | 43c | 558.63$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FlyQuest | 55c | 554.95$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Disguised | 41c | 531.21$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.03 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Disguised | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,219 | 54.5%664 W · 555 L | +52.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed FlyQuest | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked FlyQuest | 59c | 490.27$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.01 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed FlyQuest | 66c | 489.79$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed FlyQuest | 62c | 455.5$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…9f99backed FlyQuest | 66c | 450.62$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 307 | 44%135 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed FlyQuest | 69c | 427.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 680 | 63.4%431 W · 249 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Disguised | 39c | 413.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 766 | 42%322 W · 444 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…835ebacked Disguised | 35c | 411.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked FlyQuest | 62c | 395.44$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Disguised | 9c | 383.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Disguised | 35c | 373.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FlyQuest | 69c | 357.97$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked FlyQuest | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Disguised | 39c | 339.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…8c79backed FlyQuest | 59c | 330.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Disguised | 34c | 316.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed FlyQuest | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Disguised | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Disguised | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked FlyQuest | 66c | 296.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Disguised | 26c | 293.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Disguised | 25c | 286.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Disguised | 17c | 277.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…b0f0backed FlyQuest | 56c | 260.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed FlyQuest | 56c | 253.83$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Disguised | 32c | 242.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FlyQuest | 68c | 229.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 39c | 223.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed FlyQuest | 66c | 195.89$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 195.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked FlyQuest | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 268 | 59.7%160 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…9738backed Disguised | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised | 40c | 186.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…6e92backed Disguised | 43c | 179.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed FlyQuest | 61c | 179.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Disguised | 40c | 176.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Disguised | 21c | 173.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Disguised | 24c | 172.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Disguised | 45c | 170.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Disguised | 40c | 169.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…3a5dbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 164.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Disguised | 21c | 163.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…2493backed FlyQuest | 61c | 160.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked Disguised | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 2?Disguised won
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest won
- LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.