Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fdb396d82a6e98913888d70192523b018caf520fb46f7b9e164549527da2090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Michigan Broncosof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Western Michigan Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 39,996$20,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,597.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 18,723$9,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,174.17 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 9,962$4,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.43 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 8,921$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.43 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 1,090$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 897.38$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.71 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 524.85$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 495.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 374.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 366.44$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 333.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 150.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 41c | 139.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 136.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…e1fdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 48c | 93.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 43.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 39.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Western Michigan Broncos | 47c | 34.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 31.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 25.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…fc31backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-11.5)this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan BroncosMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 161.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 162.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-12.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.