Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4064bd406847d81e8ddb60f05ac27fd9553e3303458b406b06c255eedef0bc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Michigan Broncosof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Western Michigan Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 52c | 15,650$8,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,511.91 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 15,489$7,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,434.48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 43c | 1,020$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 53c | 585.74$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 63c | 461.13$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 263.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 5c | 246.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Western Michigan Broncos | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 131.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 116.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Western Michigan Broncos | 54c | 99.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Western Michigan Broncos | 54c | 91.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 41c | 74.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Western Michigan Broncos | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 67.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 49.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 43c | 36.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 35.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 33.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 33.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-12.5)this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan BroncosMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 161.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 162.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-11.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.